Chance, or Human Judgment?

Subclinical Hypothyroidism or Thyroid Autoimmunity and Variant Angina: By Chance? or with a Chance?

Proper functioning of thyroid is of importance due to its effects on the cardiovascular system. Furthermore, the relationship between hyperthyroidism and coronary vasospasm is well-known and has been continuously reported since the first description in a case report in 1979. The most important treatment of thyroid disease is the control of thyrotoxicosis and the majority of cases showed excelle...

Extrapolating human probability judgment

We advance a model of human probability judgment and apply it to the design of an extrapolation algorithm. Such an algorithm examines a person's judgment about the likelihood of various statements and is then able to predict the same person's judgments about new statements. The algorithm is tested against judgments produced by thirty undergraduates asked to assign probabilities to statements ab...

Conjugal Parkinson's disease - Real or chance?

Second malignancy--a chance or probability!

Human Judgment and Imprecise Probabilities

The study of human judgment under uncertainty has a history that is almost contemporaneous with that of probability theories. This is not a coincidence. From the outset, the idea of using probability to describe cognitive states or aspects of subjective judgment has provoked debate, theory construction, and empirical research. It is no exaggeration to say that probability theories have exerted ...